As the tennis world descends on New York City for the last major of the year, there really is only one story dominating the headlines. It is Serena Williams and her pursuit of the Calendar Year Grand Slam. She is aiming to become the first woman since Steffi Graf in 1988 to win all four majors in the same year. She is also bidding to tie Graf’s of 22 career majors. Second-most all-time. What Serena is doing is nothing short of remarkable. She is the overwhelming favorite, but that is why they put the nets up. Here is a look at the draw.
First quarter- Serena may be tested early
I believe the biggest obstacles between Serena and history are most likely to come early in the championship. She is looking at a possible second-round matchup with veteran ball basher Mirijana Lucic-Baroni who can cause problems for anyone on the right day, and a potential round three match with 29 seed Slone Stephens. The young American has beaten Serena before and is one of few players who can hang with Serena from and athleticism standpoint. The high seed in the bottom part of this quarter is (8) Karolina Pliskova. The big server from the Czech Republic has a bright future, but has yet to go beyond round three at major. Even as a high seed something tells me she will get tripped up yet again before closing Serena in the quarters. Swiss upstart (12) Belinda Bencic is also in this section. She is one of just two women to knock off Serena this year. However, she is not happy to see her name near 31 seed Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. The Russian dismantled Bencic in Washington DC earlier this summer. With Serena coming off a win a week and a half ago in Cincinnati, is impossible to see anyone tripping her up here, but it will not be easy. The key for Serena is going to be staying relaxed.
Also here: 19 seeded American Madison Keys. Serena’s big sister Venus seeded 23, and 15 seed Aga Radwanska.
Semifinalist: S. Williams (d. Pavlyuchenkova. In QFs).
Second Quarter- The Return of Maria… or not
Third-seeded Russian glamour girl Maria Sharapova was due back from a mysterious leg injury that has kept her off court since Wimbledon, but she has just withdrawn less than a day before the event begins. With its highest seed gone, this part of the draw is WIDE open. 17th seeded young gun Elina Svitolina is my choice to take advantage. Tennis fans will get the opportunity to familiarize themselves with the talented Ukrainian. Sharapova’s scheduled first round opponent unseeded Daria Gavrilova now has a shot to make noise, along with American Lauren Davis.
The bottom part of this section is headed by 7 Ana Ivanovic of Serbia. She’s joined by her compatriot 21st Jelena Jankovic. The winner of their possible fourth-round match becomes the favorite to oppose Serena in the semis. Both have given Serena issues in the past. Ivanovic has the power to hit with Serena, and Jankovic the defensive capabilities to frustrate her.
Also here: Struggling 10 seed Carla Suarez Navarro who has not won a match since the French Open. There is also slumping Canadian 26 seed Eugenie Bouchard. Her struggles are well-documented on this blog and any other sports media outlet can think of. She has enlisted the help of American tennis legend Jimmy Connors for this tournament. I sincerely hope she can do something here that she can build on.
Semifinalist- Ivanovic (d. Svitolina in QFs)
Bottom half- Full of opportunity
I mean no disrespect to the players in this part of the draw. However, all of the big names are on the other side. So, instead of breaking down two quarters, I am just lumping it into one big half.
A case can be made for many in this half of the draw. I lean towards 4th seeded Dane Caroline Wozniacki. The best defensive player in the world always plays well here, and despite not winning a match in Canada or Cincy, she looked pretty good this past week and reached the semis in New Haven, CT. 5th seeded Petra Kvitova is a threat, but she is streaky, battling Mono, and has never gone beyond round 4 here. Names like 18th seeded Andrea Petkovic of Germany and 22nd seed Sam Stosur of Australia are well positioned here. Stosur was the champion here in 2011.
The bottom part of this section is about names for me (2) Simona Halep, (11) Angie Kerber, and (20) Victoria Azarenka. Halep has a very balanced game and is a great mover. She collected runner up trophies in Canada and Cincy, but has been overpowered at majors this year. Kerber is a gritty left hander who gets better the longer matches go. She may face Azarenka in round 3. Azarenka is the only one who can regularly test Serena when she is in good form and healthy. However, she has been neither for a year now. Azarenka’s issues took a strange turn when she retired from her last match in Cincy leading by a set and 3-0 with no clear sign of an injury.
Round 1 Upset Alert in this section- Witthoft over (9) Muguruza
Coverage begins at 11 a.m. tomorrow at 11 a.m. on ESPN3 and TV coverage starts at 1 on ESPN2. The ESPN family of media outlets will have exclusive all day and night coverage throughout the event. Here are my full picks for the late rounds.
S.Williams d. Pavlyuchenkova.
Ivanovic d. Svitolina
Wozniacki d. Petkovic
Kerber d. Halep
S.Williams d. Ivanovic
Wozniacki d. Kerber
Final: In a rematch of last year S. Williams d. Wozniacki